Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.039168 0.042754 0.046526 0.050792 0.055487 0.060500 0.066262
2026-02-01 0.031284 0.036210 0.041729 0.048383 0.056205 0.065131 0.076118
2026-02-08 0.026072 0.031682 0.038305 0.046733 0.057213 0.069874 0.086410
2026-02-15 0.022320 0.028256 0.035583 0.045342 0.058080 0.074245 0.096483
2026-02-22 0.020118 0.026398 0.034457 0.045636 0.060868 0.081074 0.110207
2026-03-01 0.017717 0.023972 0.032271 0.044194 0.061057 0.084311 0.119255
2026-03-08 0.015359 0.021339 0.029507 0.041606 0.059288 0.084519 0.123847
2026-03-15 0.013883 0.019773 0.028039 0.040639 0.059633 0.087629 0.132826
2026-03-22 0.013093 0.019097 0.027747 0.041306 0.062371 0.094420 0.147978
2026-03-29 0.012400 0.018493 0.027488 0.041960 0.065091 0.101358 0.163986
2026-04-05 0.011520 0.017527 0.026592 0.041527 0.066021 0.105494 0.175744
2026-04-12 0.010746 0.016660 0.025772 0.041122 0.066923 0.109601 0.187779
2026-04-19 0.009927 0.015678 0.024721 0.040298 0.067124 0.112671 0.198556
2026-04-26 0.009068 0.014571 0.023393 0.038907 0.066247 0.113829 0.206054
2026-05-03 0.008354 0.013650 0.022299 0.037821 0.065794 0.115669 0.214992
2026-05-10 0.007724 0.012824 0.021301 0.036812 0.065375 0.117502 0.224069
2026-05-17 0.007379 0.012454 0.021047 0.037091 0.067306 0.123811 0.242559
2026-05-24 0.006830 0.011694 0.020061 0.035959 0.066491 0.124823 0.250419
2026-05-31 0.006184 0.010719 0.018632 0.033898 0.063726 0.121795 0.249530
2026-06-07 0.005786 0.010165 0.017918 0.033128 0.063400 0.123548 0.258975
2026-06-14 0.005607 0.009995 0.017891 0.033664 0.065703 0.130803 0.281199
2026-06-21 0.005438 0.009830 0.017862 0.034188 0.068019 0.138284 0.304770
2026-06-28 0.005166 0.009456 0.017413 0.033842 0.068496 0.141904 0.319848